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Ensemble models indicate no significant change in the temperature pattern out to March 17th - below normal in the northern tier and Pacific coast states; near normal elsewhere, no heatwaves. There has been a tendancy to cooling in the models for the SE. The last few day's runs indicated warmer than normal but this has changed to a neutral signal. When I have time on the weekend i'll try to put together a temperature forecast for spring based on statistical models that include the usual suspects -ENSO and PNA, plus climatology.

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